Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31

Apr 10, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Louis II

Monaco
2 - 1
Troyes

Henrique (19'), Volland (57')
Aguilar (22'), Ben Yedder (71')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ugbo (39')
Biancone (72'), Kouame (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

Last Six:

Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Marseille	38	25	71
3	Monaco	38	25	69
4	Nice	38	16	67

Troyes

Last Six:

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Angers	38	-11	41
15	Troyes	38	-16	38
16	Lorient	38	-28	36

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 69.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 11.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Troyes
69.75%	18.85%	11.4%

Both teams to score 44.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.72%

46.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.42%

68.58%

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.91%

12.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.36%

37.64%

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.11%

48.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.12%

83.88%

Score Analysis

Monaco 69.74%

Troyes 11.4%

Draw 18.85%

Monaco	Draw	Troyes
2-0 @ 13.19% 1-0 @ 12.49% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 9.29% 3-1 @ 6.65% 4-0 @ 4.91% 4-1 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.38% 5-0 @ 2.07% 5-1 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.07% Total : 69.74%	1-1 @ 8.94% 0-0 @ 5.91% 2-2 @ 3.38% Other @ 0.62% Total : 18.85%	0-1 @ 4.23% 1-2 @ 3.2% 0-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.46% Total : 11.4%