| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
| 4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Monaco |
| 24.71% | 23.57% | 51.72% |
| Both teams to score 56.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.11% | 44.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.75% | 67.25% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% | 32.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.46% | 68.54% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.62% | 17.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.21% | 47.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 6.34% 2-1 @ 6.31% 2-0 @ 3.6% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.09% 3-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.62% Total : 24.71% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 5.57% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 9.75% 1-2 @ 9.71% 0-2 @ 8.53% 1-3 @ 5.66% 0-3 @ 4.98% 2-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.48% 0-4 @ 2.18% 2-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.81% Total : 51.72% |