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[monks data]
Saint-Etienne
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Mar 19, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Monaco
St Etienne
0 - 4
Monaco

Modeste (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jovetic (13'), Tchouameni (55'), Diop (64'), Diatta (76')
Jovetic (38'), Badiashile (44')

Preview: Saint-Etienne vs. Monaco - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Monaco will be more desperate than ever to reignite their Ligue 1 title charge when they travel to the Stade Geoffroy-Guichard for Friday's battle with Saint-Etienne.

The hosts claimed a much-needed win over Angers in their most recent encounter, whereas Monaco's top-of-the-table showdown with Lille ended in a goalless stalemate.


Match preview

Saint-Etienne manager Claude Puel pictured in February 2021© Reuters

With Wahbi Khazri back in the team and back among the goals, Claude Puel's Saint-Etienne have been handed a significant boost in their bid to steer clear of the dreaded dotted line in the business end of the season.

The Tunisia stalwart has endured a challenging campaign fitness-wise, but he struck the only goal of the game on the 52-minute mark in a 1-0 win at Angers last Saturday - only his second league goal of the season - and Les Verts managed to halt a three-game winless run with that triumph at the Stade Raymond Kopa.

Puel's side are in no danger of being caught by Dijon, who are likely consigned to a 20th-placed finish, but the 16th-placed Verts have witnessed Lorient and Nantes pick up results in gameweeks which they have faltered in, although they still boast a six-point lead over the latter with nine games left to play.

However, Saint-Etienne are now preparing to play host to Monaco at a ground where they have lost just two of their last nine in Ligue 1, although they can only boast a solitary victory in that run - a 1-0 win over Metz last month - with the other six encounters ending in stalemates.

Victory on Friday would certainly give the hosts a huge psychological boost approaching the final weeks of the season, as they would temporarily rise above Strasbourg, Brest and Reims up to 13th before the weekend's fixtures take place, but Monaco make the journey to the Stade Geoffroy-Guichard pining for three points for completely different reasons.

Monaco manager Niko Kovac pictured in February 2021© Reuters

Niko Kovac was unable to exchange pleasantries with Christophe Galtier on the touchline due to the Lille manager's suspension, and many wondered whether Monaco would blow the title race wide open against the league leaders due to their coach's absence last Sunday.

Both title-chasers had their moments, but the staunch rearguards of Lille and Monaco were not to be breached as both sides claimed a point apiece from Sunday's game, and they would have been relieved to see Paris Saint-Germain and Lyon also falter in their bids for domestic silverware after that stalemate.

Kovac appears to have addressed Monaco's previously leaky defence - they have shipped just one goal in their last five across all competitions - but Les Monegasques are now at risk of going three games without a goal in Ligue 1 for the first time in over 18 months, as this change in formation has not worked wonders for Wissam Ben Yedder and Kevin Volland.

Monaco's potent attackers boast 26 goals and 13 assists between them this term - while Aleksandr Golovin has also proved his worth to Monaco since returning from injury - and it is imperative that Kovac helps his attackers rediscover their goalscoring touch lest they risk slipping further away from the league's other big boys.

The fourth-placed Monegasques find themselves seven points adrift of leaders Lille and cannot rise any higher with a win on Friday, but they travel to Saint-Etienne having won eight of their last nine away games in all competitions, and they are the solitary team in Ligue 1 yet to draw on the road this season.

On the other hand, Saint-Etienne have managed to navigate their last four top-flight fixtures against Monaco without suffering defeat and will be aiming to register their third consecutive home win against their opponents on Friday, having beaten Les Monegasques 1-0 and 2-0 at the Stade Geoffroy-Guichard in the past two seasons.

Saint-Etienne Ligue 1 form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W

Saint-Etienne form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W

Monaco Ligue 1 form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D

Monaco form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L


Team News

AS Monaco's Guillermo Maripan celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 23, 2021© Reuters

Puel will welcome captain Mathieu Debuchy back from suspension for this game, and the former Arsenal man should slot straight back into the team during a game where the hosts are expected to have their backs against the wall.

Yvan Neyou, Harold Moukoudi and Lucas Gourna-Douath will all be assessed ahead of Friday's game, but Romain Hamouma's wait for his 300th Ligue 1 appearance goes on as he remains out with a hamstring injury.

Debuchy's expected inclusion could push Denis Bouanga out onto the opposite flank or further up the field, unless the 26-year-old is sacrificed entirely for the returning skipper.

Monaco also have a player from their own returning from suspension in Krepin Diatta, but he is unlikely to come into Kovac's thinking for a start on Friday.

Sofiane Diop is an option for Kovac if he chooses to freshen up his attack, but Golovin, Volland and Ben Yedder should all reprise their roles in the 49-year-old's 3-4-2-1 setup.

The attacking trio of Pietro Pellegri, Willem Geubbels and Gelson Martins remain sidelined for the visitors, who are unlikely to make significant alterations as they hope to avoid a third game without a win.

Saint-Etienne possible starting lineup:
Moulin; Sow, Cisse, Kolodziejczak; Debuchy, Youssouf, Camara, Bouanga; Aouchiche; Abi, Khazri

Monaco possible starting lineup:
Lecomte; Maripan, Disasi, Badiashile; Aguilar, Tchouameni, Fofana, Henrique; Volland, Golovin; Ben Yedder


SM words green background

We say: Saint-Etienne 0-1 Monaco

Saint-Etienne have enjoyed some unexpected success against Monaco in the past couple of seasons, and Puel has affirmed that his side should have taken all three points from their 2-2 draw with Kovac's men earlier in the campaign. The hosts will be in a more buoyant mood compared to Monaco after their two underwhelming results, but Les Monegasques are a force to be reckoned with on the road and can ill afford to drop any more points in the title battle, so we are backing a narrow away win in Friday's showdown.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 18.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-0 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: St Etienne vs Monaco

Saint-Etienne
20.8%
Draw
11.8%
Monaco
67.4%
144
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auxerre291510453282555
2Angers29155942321050
3Saint-EtienneSt Etienne29146936231348
4Laval2913973529648
5Rodez AFRodez AF29111084740743
6GuingampGuingamp2911993731642
7Paris FCParis FC2911993430442
8Caen29126113937242
9AmiensAmiens29101272627-142
10Grenoble29101093633340
11PauPau29101094242040
12Ajaccio29108112833-538
13Bordeaux29108113237-537
14DunkerqueDunkerque29107122940-1137
15Troyes29811103336-335
16Bastia2997132937-833
17Concarneau2996143040-1033
18Annecy2979133340-730
19Quevilly29513113538-328
20Valenciennes29211161740-2317

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