Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-0 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Monaco |
| 18.76% | 23.62% | 57.62% |
| Both teams to score 47.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.14% | 51.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.39% | 73.62% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.19% | 41.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.73% | 78.27% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.23% | 17.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.52% | 48.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 6.48% 2-1 @ 4.88% 2-0 @ 2.83% 3-1 @ 1.42% 3-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.93% Total : 18.76% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 12.83% 0-2 @ 11.08% 1-2 @ 9.67% 0-3 @ 6.38% 1-3 @ 5.57% 0-4 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 2.4% 2-4 @ 1.05% 0-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.49% Total : 57.6% |