Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Metz had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.71%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Monaco |
23.4% | 25.33% | 51.26% |
Both teams to score 49.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.63% | 53.36% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.09% | 74.9% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.13% | 37.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.36% | 74.64% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.17% | 20.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.49% | 53.51% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 7.66% 2-1 @ 5.83% 2-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 1.89% 3-2 @ 1.48% 3-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.61% Total : 23.4% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 12.37% 0-2 @ 9.71% 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-3 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 4.93% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-4 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.93% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.5% Total : 51.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 36 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |