Europa League

Europa League | Last 16 | 1st Leg

Mar 10, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Braga
2 - 0
Monaco

(Braga win 3-1 on aggregate)

Ruiz (3'), Oliveira (89')
Carmo (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vanderson (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Braga and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

Last Six:

Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Braga
Sunday, May 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Benfica	33	47	71
4	Braga	32	20	62
5	Gil Vicente	33	10	51

Monaco

Last Six:

Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Marseille	38	25	71
3	Monaco	38	25	69
4	Nice	38	16	67

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Monaco
39.55%	25.61%	34.83%

Both teams to score 55.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.37%

48.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.25%

70.74%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.74%

24.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.38%

58.61%

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.11%

26.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.8%

62.2%

Score Analysis

Braga 39.55%

Monaco 34.83%

Draw 25.61%

Braga	Draw	Monaco
1-0 @ 9.24% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.89% Total : 39.55%	1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.52% 2-2 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 8.57% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.1% Total : 34.83%