Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 77.94%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 7.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.48%) and 1-0 (11.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Lorient |
| 77.94% | 14.76% | 7.3% |
| Both teams to score 41.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.18% | 40.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.79% | 63.21% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.42% | 8.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.34% | 29.66% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.8% | 54.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.6% | 87.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Lorient |
| 2-0 @ 14.02% 3-0 @ 11.48% 1-0 @ 11.42% 2-1 @ 8.59% 4-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 7.03% 4-1 @ 4.32% 5-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.15% 5-1 @ 2.12% 6-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.55% Total : 77.93% | 1-1 @ 7% 0-0 @ 4.65% 2-2 @ 2.63% Other @ 0.48% Total : 14.76% | 0-1 @ 2.85% 1-2 @ 2.14% Other @ 2.31% Total : 7.3% |