Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Reims had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.