| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bordeaux | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 46.5% | 25.37% | 28.13% |
| Both teams to score 53.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.95% | 50.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.97% | 72.02% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% | 21.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.4% | 54.59% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.9% | 32.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.42% | 68.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bordeaux | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.26% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.41% Total : 46.49% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 7.85% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 4.46% 1-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.68% Total : 28.13% |