Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 30.85% | 27.74% | 41.42% |
| Both teams to score 47.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.96% | 58.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.28% | 78.72% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.74% | 34.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.04% | 70.96% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.42% | 27.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.89% | 63.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 5.42% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.28% Total : 30.84% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.45% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 12.17% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-2 @ 7.84% 1-3 @ 3.61% 0-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.87% Total : 41.42% |