Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 31.28% | 27.92% | 40.8% |
| Both teams to score 47.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.43% | 58.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.86% | 79.14% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.78% | 34.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.08% | 70.91% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.82% | 28.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.13% | 63.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 7.02% 2-0 @ 5.54% 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.29% Total : 31.28% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 12.21% 1-2 @ 8.3% 0-2 @ 7.74% 1-3 @ 3.5% 0-3 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.77% Total : 40.8% |