Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Nimes win was 1-0 (11.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nimes | Draw | Lorient |
| 34.22% | 28.65% | 37.13% |
| Both teams to score 45.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.34% | 60.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.27% | 80.73% |
| Nimes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.74% | 33.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.13% | 69.87% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.63% | 31.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.27% | 67.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nimes | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.22% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.43% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.64% | 0-1 @ 12.09% 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 7.01% 1-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.97% Total : 37.13% |