Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 62.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 16.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.12%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Nimes win it was 1-0 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nimes | Draw | Monaco |
| 16.27% | 21.14% | 62.6% |
| Both teams to score 50.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.41% | 45.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.09% | 67.92% |
| Nimes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.88% | 41.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.34% | 77.66% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.04% | 13.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.55% | 41.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nimes | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 5.1% 2-1 @ 4.46% 2-0 @ 2.27% 3-1 @ 1.32% 3-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.81% Total : 16.27% | 1-1 @ 10.04% 0-0 @ 5.74% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.13% | 0-1 @ 11.3% 0-2 @ 11.12% 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-3 @ 7.3% 1-3 @ 6.49% 0-4 @ 3.59% 1-4 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.88% 2-4 @ 1.42% 0-5 @ 1.42% 1-5 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.72% Total : 62.59% |