Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Nice had a probability of 18.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Nice |
| 59.25% | 21.85% | 18.91% |
| Both teams to score 53.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.67% | 44.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.3% | 66.7% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.4% | 14.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.31% | 42.68% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.74% | 37.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.96% | 74.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% 2-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.46% 3-1 @ 6.38% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-0 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 3.07% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-0 @ 1.2% 5-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.72% Total : 59.23% | 1-1 @ 10.33% 0-0 @ 5.44% 2-2 @ 4.91% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.84% | 0-1 @ 5.37% 1-2 @ 5.1% 0-2 @ 2.65% 1-3 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.49% Total : 18.91% |