Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Nice had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Lorient |
| 36.86% | 26.17% | 36.97% |
| Both teams to score 53.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.13% | 50.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.25% | 72.76% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% | 26.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% | 62.04% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.3% | 26.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.04% | 61.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 9.42% 2-1 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 6.21% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.14% Total : 36.86% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 8.21% 0-2 @ 6.23% 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.97% |