Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20

Jan 27, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient
3 - 2
Dijon

Chalobah (30'), Moffi (58'), Racioppi (90+5' og.)
Etienne (65'), Chalobah (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Ecuele Manga (40'), Balde (42')
Balde (10'), Konate (26'), N'Dong (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Dijon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Dijon had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Dijon win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Dijon
40.31%	28.7%	31%

Both teams to score 44.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.65%

61.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.75%

81.25%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.2%

29.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.12%

65.88%

Dijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.08%

35.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.31%

72.69%

Score Analysis

Lorient 40.3%

Dijon 31%

Draw 28.68%

Lorient	Draw	Dijon
1-0 @ 12.95% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 7.84% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 1.66% 4-1 @ 0.98% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.47% Total : 40.3%	1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.68%	0-1 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.99% Total : 31%

How you voted: Lorient vs Dijon

Lorient

19.4%

Draw

29.2%

Dijon

51.4%