Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 43.51%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 28.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-2 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Nimes win it was 1-0 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nimes | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 28.24% | 28.25% | 43.51% |
| Both teams to score 45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.25% | 60.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.2% | 80.8% |
| Nimes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.27% | 37.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.49% | 74.51% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% | 27.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.69% | 63.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nimes | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 6.38% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 2.07% 3-0 @ 1.62% 3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.68% Total : 28.24% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.24% | 0-1 @ 13.42% 0-2 @ 8.61% 1-2 @ 8.39% 0-3 @ 3.68% 1-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.18% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.75% Total : 43.51% |