Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28

Mar 3, 2021 at 6pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne
2 - 3
Lens

Moukoudi (40'), Bouanga (90+4' pen.)
Moukoudi (19'), Debuchy (26'), Gourna-Douath (66')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Sotoca (20' pen.), Kalimuendo (24'), Costa (90+2')
Banza (77'), Sotoca (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Lens
27.97%	26.65%	45.38%

Both teams to score 49.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.82%

55.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.58%

76.42%

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.07%

34.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.33%

71.67%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.76%

24.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.41%

58.59%

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 27.97%

Lens 45.38%

Draw 26.65%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 8.91% 2-1 @ 6.64% 2-0 @ 4.68% 3-1 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 1.65% 3-0 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.13% Total : 27.97%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 8.47% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 12% 1-2 @ 8.94% 0-2 @ 8.5% 1-3 @ 4.23% 0-3 @ 4.02% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.55% Total : 45.38%

How you voted: St Etienne vs Lens

Saint-Etienne

31.3%

Draw

35.4%

Lens

33.3%