Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 43.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Metz had a probability of 28.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bordeaux | Draw | Metz |
| 43.29% | 28.57% | 28.13% |
| Both teams to score 44.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.14% | 61.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.37% | 81.63% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% | 28.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.87% | 64.13% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.56% | 38.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.81% | 75.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bordeaux | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 13.74% 2-0 @ 8.65% 2-1 @ 8.27% 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.14% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.63% Total : 43.29% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 10.91% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.57% | 0-1 @ 10.43% 1-2 @ 6.28% 0-2 @ 4.99% 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.59% Total : 28.13% |