| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
| 8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
| 9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 74.32%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 9.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 3-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 74.32% | 15.98% | 9.7% |
| Both teams to score 48.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.01% | 37.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.74% | 60.26% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.27% | 8.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.98% | 30.02% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.31% | 46.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.75% | 82.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 2-0 @ 12.12% 1-0 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 9.23% 3-1 @ 7.5% 4-0 @ 6.01% 4-1 @ 4.58% 5-0 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.86% 5-1 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 1.74% 6-0 @ 1.19% 6-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.23% Total : 74.32% | 1-1 @ 7.57% 0-0 @ 4.08% 2-2 @ 3.52% Other @ 0.82% Total : 15.98% | 0-1 @ 3.1% 1-2 @ 2.88% 0-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.53% Total : 9.7% |