Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 36

May 11, 2022 at 6pm UK

Stade Municipal du Ray

Nice
4 - 2
St Etienne

Bard (52'), Delort (60', 62'), Boudaoui (80')
Daniliuc (44'), Kluivert (65')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bouanga (11'), Youssouf (45+3')
Macon (37'), Mangala (54'), Moukoudi (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

Last Six:

Last Game: Reims 2-3 Nice
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Monaco	38	25	69
4	Nice	38	16	67
5	Rennes	38	42	66

Saint-Etienne

Last Six:

Last Game: St Etienne 1-1 Auxerre (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1 Playoffs

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Clermont	38	-31	36
18	Saint-Etienne	38	-35	32
19	Metz	38	-34	31

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 62.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
Nice	Draw	Saint-Etienne
62.35% ( -3.52)	21.1% ( 1.02)	16.54% ( 2.5)

Both teams to score 51.37% (

2.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.05% (

0.47)

44.95% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.69% (

0.45)

67.31% (

-0.45)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.16% (

-0.9)

13.83% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.8% (

-1.81)

41.2% (

1.81)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.61% (

3.68)

40.38% (

-3.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23% (

3.17)

77% (

-3.18)

Score Analysis

Nice 62.34%

Saint-Etienne 16.54%

Draw 21.1%

Nice	Draw	Saint-Etienne
1-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.6) 2-0 @ 10.92% ( -1) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.92) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.59) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.29) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.81% Total : 62.34%	1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.47) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.49) Other @ 1% Total : 21.1%	0-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.63) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.38) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.27) Other @ 1.9% Total : 16.54%