Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 35

May 1, 2022 at 12pm UK

Stade de l'Aube

Troyes
3 - 0
Lille

Tardieu (43' pen., 86' pen.), Ugbo (55' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sanches (50'), Botman (54'), Gudmundsson (61')
Sanches (50'), Yilmaz (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

Last Six:

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Angers	38	-11	41
15	Troyes	38	-16	38
16	Lorient	38	-28	36

Lille

Last Six:

Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Nantes	38	7	55
10	Lille	38	0	55
11	Brest	38	-8	48

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 39%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Troyes	Draw	Lille
32.77%	28.22%	39%

Both teams to score 46.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.66%

59.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.27%

79.72%

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.44%

33.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.8%

70.2%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.43%

29.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.4%

65.6%

Score Analysis

Troyes 32.77%

Lille 39%

Draw 28.22%

Troyes	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 7.21% 2-0 @ 5.92% 3-1 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.77%	1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.22%	0-1 @ 12.09% 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 7.37% 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 1% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.56% Total : 39%