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Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
Apr 24, 2022 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Strasbourg

Lille
1 - 0
Strasbourg

Celik (87')
Gudmundsson (36'), Botman (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Perrin (40'), Guilbert (70'), Djiku (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 1-1 Strasbourg

Lille's starting lineup should have more of a familiar feel about it this weekend, with two well-rested strikers in David and Yilmaz desperately needing to find their shooting boots sooner rather than later. Strasbourg have certainly been the draw specialists away from home in recent weeks, and while one point will not do them many favours in their podium push, an altered Lille side should manage to avoid a third straight loss with a hard-fought stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match.

Result
LilleDrawStrasbourg
42.88%27.9%29.21%
Both teams to score 46.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.8%59.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.38%79.62%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66%27.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.21%62.79%
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.88%36.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.1%72.89%
Score Analysis
    Lille 42.88%
    Strasbourg 29.21%
    Draw 27.91%
LilleDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 12.8%
2-1 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 8.3%
3-1 @ 3.66%
3-0 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 1.86%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 42.88%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.87%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 10.05%
1-2 @ 6.64%
0-2 @ 5.12%
1-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 29.21%

How you voted: Lille vs Strasbourg

Lille
42.9%
Draw
31.0%
Strasbourg
26.2%
42
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2021 6pm
Strasbourg
1-2
Lille
Sissoko (75')
Diallo (19'), Djiku (38'), Le Marchand (38'), Ajorque (83'), Stephan (88')
Thomasson (79')
David (23', 57')
Grbic (70'), Djalo (78'), Xeka (81'), Mandava (90+1')
Feb 28, 2021 4.05pm
Oct 4, 2020 2pm
Strasbourg
0-3
Lille

Djiku (42')
Celik (21'), Sanches (53'), Yilmaz (68')
Araujo (59')
Feb 1, 2020 7pm
Strasbourg
1-2
Lille
Thomasson (12')
Carole (79')
Gabriel (65'), Osimhen (79' pen.)
Celik (35'), Xeka (42'), Gabriel (62'), Andre (87')
Sep 25, 2019 6pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG30209173264769
2MonacoMonaco30177656381858
3Brest30158744291553
4Lille301410643261752
5Nice3013983324948
6Lens30137103932746
7Rennes30119104436842
8Marseille30101194537841
9Lyon30125133949-1041
10Reims30117123741-440
11Toulouse30910113639-337
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier30910113842-436
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3099123341-836
14NantesNantes3094172848-2031
15Metz3085173149-1829
16Le HavreLe Havre30610142738-1128
17Lorient3068163659-2326
18Clermont30410162149-2822


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