| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 10 | Lille | 38 | 0 | 55 |
| 11 | Brest | 38 | -8 | 48 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
| 8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Lens had a probability of 22.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Lens win it was 0-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Lens |
| 51.38% | 26.51% | 22.12% |
| Both teams to score 44.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.3% | 58.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.76% | 79.24% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% | 23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.21% | 56.8% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.86% | 42.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.44% | 78.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 14.24% 2-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.05% 3-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.63% Total : 51.36% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 8.37% 1-2 @ 5.32% 0-2 @ 3.62% 1-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.13% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.11% Total : 22.12% |