Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 68.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Lens had a probability of 12.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Lens win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.