Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30

Apr 3, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
1 - 2
Brest

Savanier (90+3' pen.)
Mavididi (32'), Sakho (33')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Satriano (69'), Honorat (79')
Satriano (7'), Herelle (31'), Chardonnet (66'), Brassier (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

Last Six:

Last Game: Angers 2-0 Montpellier
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Reims	38	-1	46
13	Montpellier HSC	38	-12	43
14	Angers	38	-11	41

Brest

Last Six:

Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Lille	38	0	55
11	Brest	38	-8	48
12	Reims	38	-1	46

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Brest
41.98%	26.56%	31.46%

Both teams to score 51.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.63%

53.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.09%

74.91%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.87%

25.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.16%

59.84%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.6%

31.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.23%

67.77%

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 41.97%

Brest 31.46%

Draw 26.55%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 7.53% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.46% Total : 41.97%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 5.05% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.55%	0-1 @ 9.14% 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.46%