| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
| 17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
| 8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
| 9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Lyon |
| 25.38% | 23.74% | 50.87% |
| Both teams to score 56.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.95% ( | 45.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.6% ( | 67.4% |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.39% ( | 31.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.99% | 68.01% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.24% ( | 17.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.55% ( | 48.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 6.46% 2-1 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.14% 3-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.73% Total : 25.38% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 5.61% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 9.7% 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-2 @ 8.38% 1-3 @ 5.56% 0-3 @ 4.83% 2-3 @ 3.2% 1-4 @ 2.4% 0-4 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.66% Total : 50.87% |