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Angers
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Jean Bouin
Montpellier

Angers
2 - 0
Montpellier

Mangani (45+1' pen.), Pereira Lage (67')
Fulgini (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Makouana (30'), Oyongo (44'), Germain (54'), Ferri (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Angers and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 54.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.

Result
AngersDrawMontpellier HSC
54.59% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)23.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)21.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.18% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.62% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)48.37% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.48% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)70.51% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Angers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)17.6% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.81% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)48.18% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)36.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.55% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)73.44% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Angers 54.59%
    Montpellier HSC 21.74%
    Draw 23.66%
AngersDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 11.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.45% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 54.59%
1-1 @ 11.24%
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.66%
0-1 @ 6.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 5.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.64%
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 21.74%

How you voted: Angers vs Montpellier

Angers
70.7%
Draw
19.5%
Montpellier HSC
9.8%
41
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Montpellier
4-1
Angers
Savanier (14'), Cozza (30'), Ristic (51'), Mavididi (76')
Sambia (48')
Pereira Lage (45+1')
Boufal (13')
Apr 4, 2021 12pm
Sep 20, 2020 2pm
Montpellier
4-1
Angers
Souquet (18'), Delort (43', 60'), Mollet (86')
Congre (16'), Delort (33'), Souquet (41'), Cozza (66')
Bahoken (25')
Ebosse (11'), Bahoken (56'), Pavlovic (62'), S (62')
Feb 22, 2020 7pm
Angers
1-0
Montpellier
Bahoken (68')
Bamba (32'), Doumbia (40'), Pavlovic (64'), Capelle (81')

Delort (83'), Oyongo (90')
Oct 26, 2019 7pm