Conference League
Apr 7, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Orange Vélodrome
  • Gerson 13' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 45' goal
  • Gerson 76' yellowcard
  • Jorge Sampaoli 85' yellowcard
  • Boubacar Kamara 90' yellowcard
  • Gerson 90'+4' redcard
  • Bamba Dieng 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Omar El Kaddouri 48'
  • yellowcard Diego Biseswar 73'
  • yellowcard Jasmin Kurtic 90'+4'

Marseille vs PAOK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

PAOK

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest PAOK win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result

Marseille 41.58%
Draw 26.69%
PAOK 31.73%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.05%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.19%
Under 2.5 53.81%
Over 3.5 24.72%
Under 3.5 75.28%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 74.46%
Under 0.5 25.53%
Over 1.5 39.61%
Under 1.5 60.39%

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5 68.56%
Under 0.5 31.44%
Over 1.5 32.18%
Under 1.5 67.81%

Score analysis

Marseille 41.58%
Draw 26.69%
PAOK 31.73%
Marseille
1-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 7.48%
3-1 @ 3.94%
3-0 @ 3.4%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 41.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 8.03%
2-2 @ 5.01%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.69%
PAOK
0-1 @ 9.29%
1-2 @ 7.34%
0-2 @ 5.37%
1-3 @ 2.83%
0-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.73%