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UEFA Conference League

PAOK
Conference League | Last 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 10, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
Gent

PAOK
1 - 0
Gent

Kurtic (58')
Lucescu (34'), Zivkovic (45'), Vieirinha (61'), Kurtic (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Okumu (2'), Torunarigha (83'), Castro-Montes (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between PAOK and Gent, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PAOK

Last Six:
Last Game: PAOK 2-0 Panathinaikos
Tuesday, May 17 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Gent

Last Six:
Last Game: Gent 1-2 Charleroi
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Gent had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Gent win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for PAOK in this match.

Result
PAOKDrawGent
49.13%25.08%25.79%
Both teams to score 52.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.61%50.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.67%72.32%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47%20.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97%53.03%
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.87%34.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.18%70.82%
Score Analysis
    PAOK 49.13%
    Gent 25.79%
    Draw 25.07%
PAOKDrawGent
1-0 @ 11.09%
2-1 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 8.78%
3-1 @ 4.98%
3-0 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 49.13%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 7.01%
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 7.53%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 4.05%
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 25.79%

How you voted: PAOK vs Gent

PAOK
50.0%
Draw
21.5%
Gent
28.5%
130
rhs 2.0


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