Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.16%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest PAOK win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.