UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg

Feb 17, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

MCH Arena

Midtjylland
1 - 0
PAOK

(2-2 on aggregate)

Andersson (20')
Onyedika (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mitrita (37'), Schwab (41'), Angel Crespo (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between FC Midtjylland and PAOK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.16%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest PAOK win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.

Result
FC Midtjylland	Draw	PAOK
41.54%	22.81%	35.65%

Both teams to score 65.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.89%

35.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.89%

57.11%

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.47%

17.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.95%

48.05%

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.82%

20.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.52%

52.47%

Score Analysis

FC Midtjylland 41.54%

PAOK 35.65%

Draw 22.81%

FC Midtjylland	Draw	PAOK
2-1 @ 8.58% 1-0 @ 6.16% 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 4.98% 3-2 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.17% Total : 41.54%	1-1 @ 9.86% 2-2 @ 6.87% 0-0 @ 3.54% 3-3 @ 2.13% Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.81%	1-2 @ 7.89% 0-1 @ 5.66% 0-2 @ 4.53% 1-3 @ 4.21% 2-3 @ 3.66% 0-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.68% 2-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.16% Total : 35.65%

How you voted: Midtjylland vs PAOK

FC Midtjylland

53.8%

Draw

20.2%

PAOK

26.0%