Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-0 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.