Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 12.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Charleroi win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.