Sports Mole previews Saturday's Belgian Pro League clash between Gent and Charleroi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
We said: Gent 2-0 Charleroi
Given their recent form and the quality in their squad, we can only envisage a relatively comfortable home victory on Saturday.
The visitors will miss the attacking threat of Bayo, and Gent have enough to outclass their visitors on home turf.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 12.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Charleroi win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.