Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 38

May 10, 2022 at 8pm UK

Luminus Arena

Genk
3 - 2
Charleroi

Onuachu (55'), Nkuba (59' og.), Cuesta (65')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ilaimaharitra (34'), Heymans (72')
Ilaimaharitra (38')

Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Genk and Charleroi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 69.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 13.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Charleroi win it was 1-2 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.

Result
Genk	Draw	Charleroi
69.59% ( 0.18)	17.3% ( -0.15)	13.11% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 56.03% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.46% (

0.63)

34.54% (

-0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.52% (

0.71)

56.48% (

-0.71)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.06% (

0.2)

8.93% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.49% (

0.49)

30.51% (

-0.5)

Charleroi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.53% (

0.36)

38.47% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.78% (

0.34)

75.22% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Genk 69.58%

Charleroi 13.11%

Draw 17.3%

Genk	Draw	Charleroi
2-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.92% Total : 69.58%	1-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.3%	1-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 13.11%