Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Lyon |
| 32.78% | 26.4% | 40.83% |
| Both teams to score 52.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.65% | 52.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.96% | 74.04% |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.01% | 29.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.89% | 66.11% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% | 25.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.97% | 60.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% 2-1 @ 7.56% 2-0 @ 5.5% 3-1 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.36% Total : 32.78% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 8.64% 0-2 @ 7.17% 1-3 @ 3.96% 0-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.82% |