Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 56.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Nice had a probability of 21.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Nice win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Lyon |
| 21.17% | 22.72% | 56.11% |
| Both teams to score 54.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.97% | 45.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.62% | 67.38% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.67% | 35.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.91% | 72.09% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.13% | 15.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.93% | 45.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 5.83% 2-1 @ 5.59% 2-0 @ 3.03% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.78% 3-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.94% Total : 21.17% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 5.61% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.71% | 0-1 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-2 @ 9.5% 1-3 @ 6.07% 0-3 @ 5.83% 2-3 @ 3.16% 1-4 @ 2.79% 0-4 @ 2.68% 2-4 @ 1.45% 1-5 @ 1.03% 0-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.42% Total : 56.11% |