Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Reims had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Reims win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
