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Premier League | Gameweek 21
May 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
King Power Stadium
Norwich logo

Leicester
3 - 0
Norwich

Vardy (54', 62'), Maddison (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-5 Spurs
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Leicester City 1-0 Norwich City

Leicester will again be missing a number of important players, but Norwich have selection issues of their own, and we are expecting the Foxes to pick up another three points, albeit by the narrowest of margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 66.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 13.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawNorwich City
66.05% (-3.512 -3.51) 20.6% (1.6 1.6) 13.35% (1.907 1.91)
Both teams to score 45.28% (0.671 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.96% (-2.246 -2.25)49.03% (2.241 2.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.88% (-2.065 -2.07)71.11% (2.061 2.06)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.99% (-1.715 -1.72)14.01% (1.71 1.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.46% (-3.474 -3.47)41.54% (3.469 3.47)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.66% (1.793 1.79)47.34% (-1.796 -1.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.25% (1.306 1.31)82.74% (-1.31 -1.31)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 66.04%
    Norwich City 13.35%
    Draw 20.6%
Leicester CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 13.03% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 12.81% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 8.39% (-0.878 -0.88)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.311 -0.31)
4-0 @ 4.13% (-0.734 -0.73)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.367 -0.37)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.62% (-0.415 -0.42)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.234 -0.23)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 66.04%
1-1 @ 9.75% (0.748 0.75)
0-0 @ 6.63% (0.588 0.59)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.232 0.23)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 20.6%
0-1 @ 4.96% (0.665 0.67)
1-2 @ 3.64% (0.447 0.45)
0-2 @ 1.85% (0.329 0.33)
1-3 @ 0.91% (0.151 0.15)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 13.35%

How you voted: Leicester vs Norwich

Leicester City
81.3%
Draw
12.7%
Norwich City
6.0%
166
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Norwich
1-2
Leicester
Pukki (44' pen.)
Lees-Melou (25'), Cantwell (82')
Vardy (8'), Albrighton (76')
Albrighton (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Liverpool34228475344174
3Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


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