Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 21

May 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
3 - 0
Norwich

Vardy (54', 62'), Maddison (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	West Ham United	38	9	56
8	Leicester City	38	3	52
9	Brighton & Hove Albion	38	-2	51

Norwich City

Last Six:

Last Game: Norwich 0-5 Spurs
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Burnley	38	-19	35
19	Watford	38	-43	23
20	Norwich City	38	-61	22

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 66.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 13.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Norwich City
66.05% ( -3.51)	20.6% ( 1.6)	13.35% ( 1.91)

Both teams to score 45.28% (

0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.96% (

-2.25)

49.03% (

2.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.88% (

-2.07)

71.11% (

2.06)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.99% (

-1.72)

14.01% (

1.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.46% (

-3.47)

41.54% (

3.47)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.66% (

1.79)

47.34% (

-1.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.25% (

1.31)

82.74% (

-1.31)

Score Analysis

Leicester City 66.04%

Norwich City 13.35%

Draw 20.6%

Leicester City	Draw	Norwich City
1-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 12.81% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.88) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.31) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.73) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.37) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.42) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.41% Total : 66.04%	1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.75) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.23) Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.6%	0-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.67) 1-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.15) Other @ 1.99% Total : 13.35%