UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

May 5, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 0
Leicester

(Roma win 2-1 on aggregate)

Abraham (11')
Mancini (41'), Karsdorp (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fofana (68')

Reaction

AS Roma's Tammy Abraham celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates, on May 5 2022

Leicester City knocked out of Europa Conference League

Leicester City are out of the Europa Conference League following a 1-0 defeat in the semi-finals against Roma on Thursday evening.

May 5, 21:06

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Lazio	38	19	64
6	Roma	38	16	63
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62

Leicester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	West Ham United	38	9	56
8	Leicester City	38	3	52
9	Brighton & Hove Albion	38	-2	51

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 51.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 23.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Leicester City win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
Roma	Draw	Leicester City
51.21%	24.81%	23.97%

Both teams to score 51.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.2%

50.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.31%

72.68%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.17%

19.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.08%

51.91%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.08%

35.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.3%

72.69%

Score Analysis

Roma 51.21%

Leicester City 23.97%

Draw 24.8%

Roma	Draw	Leicester City
1-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 9.55% 2-0 @ 9.32% 3-1 @ 5.15% 3-0 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.82% Total : 51.21%	1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 1% Total : 24.8%	0-1 @ 7.29% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.9% Total : 23.97%