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Roma logo
Europa Conference League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Leicester logo

Roma
1 - 0
Leicester

Abraham (11')
Mancini (41'), Karsdorp (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fofana (68')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Roma and Leicester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Roma and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Leicester City could line up for Thursday's Europa Conference League clash with Roma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Roma 2-1 Leicester City (Roma win 3-2 on aggregate)

Roma battled well and showed their quality before leaving Leicester with a draw last week, and, with the benefit of a passionate and hostile home crowd, they could go one better in the second leg. The Foxes travel with a badly hit squad and little momentum, and we would not be surprised to see them fall just short against Jose Mourinho's well-drilled side at the Stadio Olimpico. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 51.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 23.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Leicester City win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
RomaDrawLeicester City
51.21%24.81%23.97%
Both teams to score 51.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.2%50.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.31%72.68%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.17%19.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.08%51.91%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08%35.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3%72.69%
Score Analysis
    Roma 51.21%
    Leicester City 23.97%
    Draw 24.8%
RomaDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 11.52%
2-1 @ 9.55%
2-0 @ 9.32%
3-1 @ 5.15%
3-0 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 2.03%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 51.21%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 7.12%
2-2 @ 4.89%
Other @ 1%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.29%
1-2 @ 6.04%
0-2 @ 3.73%
1-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 23.97%

How you voted: Roma vs Leicester

Roma
68.2%
Draw
13.0%
Leicester City
18.9%
355
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2022 8pm
Leicester
1-1
Roma
Mancini (67' og.)
Dewsbury-Hall (26'), Vardy (59')
Pellegrini (15')
Abraham (8'), Zaniolo (63')
rhs 2.0
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13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
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