Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 34

Apr 23, 2022 at 5pm UK

San Siro

Inter Milan
3 - 1
Roma

Dumfries (30'), Brozovic (40'), Martinez (52')
Brozovic (45+1'), Calhanoglu (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mkhitaryan (85')
Mancini (36'), Oliveira (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	AC Milan	38	38	86
2	Inter Milan	38	52	84
3	Napoli	38	43	79

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Lazio	38	19	64
6	Roma	38	16	63
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Roma had a probability of 18.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Roma win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Roma
60.14%	21.18%	18.68%

Both teams to score 55.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.34%

41.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.94%

64.06%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.54%

13.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.56%

40.43%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.06%

35.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.29%

72.71%

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 60.14%

Roma 18.68%

Draw 21.18%

Inter Milan	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 9.96% 2-0 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 9.7% 3-1 @ 6.66% 3-0 @ 6.5% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 3.34% 4-0 @ 3.26% 4-2 @ 1.71% 5-1 @ 1.34% 5-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.23% Total : 60.14%	1-1 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 5.1% 0-0 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.18%	1-2 @ 5.08% 0-1 @ 4.95% 0-2 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 1.74% 1-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.65% Total : 18.68%