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Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 23, 2022 at 5pm UK
San Siro
Roma logo

Inter Milan
3 - 1
Roma

Dumfries (30'), Brozovic (40'), Martinez (52')
Brozovic (45+1'), Calhanoglu (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mkhitaryan (85')
Mancini (36'), Oliveira (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Inter Milan 1-1 Roma

Roma are the Serie A side with the most different players to have scored at least twice this term (12) - closely followed by Inter (11) - but Tammy Abraham remains their greatest threat to the champions. They have also been more sure-footed defensively in recent weeks, with fit-again Chris Smalling to the fore, so Mourinho can throw a spanner in the works by restricting his old employers to a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Roma had a probability of 18.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Roma win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawRoma
60.14%21.18%18.68%
Both teams to score 55.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.34%41.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.94%64.06%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.54%13.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.56%40.43%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.06%35.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.29%72.71%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 60.14%
    Roma 18.68%
    Draw 21.18%
Inter MilanDrawRoma
2-1 @ 9.96%
2-0 @ 9.73%
1-0 @ 9.7%
3-1 @ 6.66%
3-0 @ 6.5%
3-2 @ 3.41%
4-1 @ 3.34%
4-0 @ 3.26%
4-2 @ 1.71%
5-1 @ 1.34%
5-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 60.14%
1-1 @ 9.92%
2-2 @ 5.1%
0-0 @ 4.83%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.18%
1-2 @ 5.08%
0-1 @ 4.95%
0-2 @ 2.53%
2-3 @ 1.74%
1-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 18.68%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Roma

Inter Milan
74.3%
Draw
12.4%
Roma
13.3%
113
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 8pm
Inter Milan
2-0
Roma
Dzeko (2'), Sanchez (68')

Zaniolo (37'), Mancini (38'), Mourinho (45+2')
Dec 4, 2021 5pm
Roma
0-3
Inter Milan

Ibanez (37'), Mancini (63'), Zaniolo (75')
Calhanoglu (15'), Dzeko (24'), Dumfries (39')
Barella (47')
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Inter Milan
3-1
Roma
Brozovic (11'), Vecino (20'), Lukaku (90')
Mkhitaryan (31')
Darboe (6'), Santon (28'), Kumbulla (71'), Karsdorp (82')
Jan 10, 2021 11.30am
Roma
2-2
Inter Milan
Pellegrini (17'), Mancini (86')
Smalling (45+1'), Mancini (65'), Villar (76')
Skriniar (56'), Hakimi (63')
Lukaku (43'), Bastoni (67'), Perisic (90+5')
Jul 19, 2020 8.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Juventus21813034171737
5Lazio2011363428636
6Bologna208933226633
7Fiorentina1995532201232
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese207582328-526
11Genoa215881830-1223
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2127122031-1113


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