UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 7, 2022 at 8pm UK

Aspmyra Stadion

Bodo/Glimt
2 - 1
Roma

(Roma win 5-2 on aggregate)

Saltnes (56'), Vetlesen (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pellegrini (43')
Cristante (18'), Vina (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Bodo/Glimt and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Lazio	38	19	64
6	Roma	38	16	63
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Roma had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bodo/Glimt in this match.

Result
Bodo/Glimt	Draw	Roma
45.36%	23.88%	30.76%

Both teams to score 59.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.95%

42.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.54%

64.45%

Bodo/Glimt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.23%

18.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.83%

50.16%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.79%

26.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.69%

61.3%

Score Analysis

Bodo/Glimt 45.36%

Roma 30.76%

Draw 23.87%

Bodo/Glimt	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 9.22% 1-0 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 6.88% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 3.44% 4-1 @ 2.15% 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.41% Total : 45.36%	1-1 @ 11.01% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.87%	1-2 @ 7.38% 0-1 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.1% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.34% Total : 30.76%