MX23RW : Saturday, April 27 23:34:49| >> :600:703751:703751:
Europa Conference League | Last 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

Bodo/Glimt
2 - 1
AZ

Pellegrino (39'), Solbakken (90+1' pen.)
Wembangomo (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aboukhlal (73')
Fonn Witry (45'), Evjen (75'), Aboukhlal (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Bodo/Glimt and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Molde 3-1 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Next Game: Kristiansund vs. Bodo/Glimt
Saturday, June 18 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Bodo/Glimt 1-1 AZ Alkmaar

Both Bodo/Glimt and AZ Alkmaar are in good form overall heading into this fixture, and are two well-matched teams that should be able to provide a close encounter. Neither club will want to give too much away in the first leg of this round, and because of that, it could end up being quite a cagey contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bodo/Glimt in this match.

Result
Bodo/GlimtDrawAZ Alkmaar
43.69%23.63%32.68%
Both teams to score 61.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.99%40.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.62%62.37%
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.36%18.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.05%49.95%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95%24.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.67%58.32%
Score Analysis
    Bodo/Glimt 43.69%
    AZ Alkmaar 32.68%
    Draw 23.63%
Bodo/GlimtDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.01%
1-0 @ 7.53%
2-0 @ 6.33%
3-1 @ 5.05%
3-2 @ 3.6%
3-0 @ 3.54%
4-1 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 43.69%
1-1 @ 10.73%
2-2 @ 6.42%
0-0 @ 4.48%
3-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.63%
1-2 @ 7.65%
0-1 @ 6.39%
0-2 @ 4.55%
1-3 @ 3.63%
2-3 @ 3.05%
0-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.68%

How you voted: Bodo/Glimt vs AZ

Bodo/Glimt
47.6%
Draw
31.3%
AZ Alkmaar
21.1%
147
rhs 2.0
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