UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Last 16 | 1st Leg

Mar 10, 2022 at 8pm UK

Aspmyra Stadion

Bodo/Glimt
2 - 1
AZ

(Bodo/Glimt win 4-3 on aggregate)

Pellegrino (39'), Solbakken (90+1' pen.)
Wembangomo (51')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aboukhlal (73')
Fonn Witry (45'), Evjen (75'), Aboukhlal (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Bodo/Glimt and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:

Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	FC Twente	33	17	65
5	AZ Alkmaar	33	22	61
6	Vitesse	33	-9	50

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bodo/Glimt in this match.

Result
Bodo/Glimt	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
43.69%	23.63%	32.68%

Both teams to score 61.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.99%

40.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.62%

62.37%

Bodo/Glimt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.36%

18.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.05%

49.95%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.95%

24.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.67%

58.32%

Score Analysis

Bodo/Glimt 43.69%

AZ Alkmaar 32.68%

Draw 23.63%

Bodo/Glimt	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.01% 1-0 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-2 @ 3.6% 3-0 @ 3.54% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.52% Total : 43.69%	1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 4.48% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.63%	1-2 @ 7.65% 0-1 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.68%