UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Last 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 17, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
2 - 2
Bodo/Glimt

(Bodo/Glimt win 4-3 on aggregate)

Pavlidis (18', 30')
Reijnders (44'), de Wit (46'), Sugawara (86'), Sowah (90')

FT
(aet)

Pellegrino (26'), Sampsted (105+1')
Sampsted (7'), Saltnes (90'), Solbakken (113'), Haikin (116')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between AZ Alkmaar and Bodo/Glimt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:

Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	FC Twente	33	17	65
5	AZ Alkmaar	33	22	61
6	Vitesse	33	-9	50

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%).

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Bodo/Glimt
47.21%	25.03%	27.76%

Both teams to score 54.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.13%

48.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.04%

70.96%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.27%

20.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.64%

53.35%

Bodo/Glimt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.24%

31.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.81%

68.19%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 47.2%

Bodo/Glimt 27.76%

Draw 25.03%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Bodo/Glimt
1-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 9.35% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 4.9% 3-0 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.64% Total : 47.2%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.59% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.03%	0-1 @ 7.55% 1-2 @ 6.82% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.75% Total : 27.76%