Eredivisie | Gameweek 25

Apr 2, 2022 at 7pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
3 - 1
Vitesse

Pavlidis (32'), Rasmussen (56' og.), Karlsson (83' pen.)
Pavlidis (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tronstad (63')
Bero (58'), Wittek (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:

Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	FC Twente	33	17	65
5	AZ Alkmaar	33	22	61
6	Vitesse	33	-9	50

Vitesse

Last Six:

Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	AZ Alkmaar	33	22	61
6	Vitesse	33	-9	50
7	FC Utrecht	33	8	47

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 16.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Vitesse win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Vitesse
60.99%	22.09%	16.92%

Both teams to score 49.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.52%

48.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.39%

70.61%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.58%

15.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.75%

44.26%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.98%

42.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.54%

78.46%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 60.98%

Vitesse 16.92%

Draw 22.09%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Vitesse
1-0 @ 12.11% 2-0 @ 11.32% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 6.12% 4-0 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-2 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 1.23% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.21% Total : 60.98%	1-1 @ 10.5% 0-0 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.09%	0-1 @ 5.62% 1-2 @ 4.55% 0-2 @ 2.44% 1-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.92%