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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma logo

Torino
0 - 3
Roma


Ansaldi (21'), Buongiorno (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Abraham (33', 42' pen.), Pellegrini (78' pen.)
Ibanez (20'), Shomurodov (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Torino and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 0-3 Roma
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Torino 1-1 Roma

Roma's recent Serie A form has been disappointing, and they will be coming up against a Torino outfit that will be full of confidence due to a strong set of results over the last few weeks. A draw would leave Roma vulnerable in the top six, but we are struggling to separate the two sides here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawRoma
35.14% (-0.109 -0.11) 25.53% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 39.34% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.73% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.8% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)48.19% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.65% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)70.35% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-0.105 -0.11)26.5% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)61.69% (0.13 0.13)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (0.007000000000005 0.01)24.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.5% (0.013000000000005 0.01)58.5% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Torino 35.14%
    Roma 39.34%
    Draw 25.52%
TorinoDrawRoma
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 35.14%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 9.1% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.46% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.06% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 39.34%

How you voted: Torino vs Roma

Torino
30.2%
Draw
27.3%
Roma
42.6%
242
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2021 5pm
Roma
1-0
Torino
Abraham (32')
Ibanez (90+2'), Kumbulla (90+4')

Zima (54')
Apr 18, 2021 5pm
Torino
3-1
Roma
Sanabria (57'), Zaza (71'), Rincon (90+2')
Nkoulou (51'), Verdi (65')
Mayoral (3')
Diawara (74')
Diawara (85')
Dec 17, 2020 7.45pm
Roma
3-1
Torino
Mkhitaryan (27'), Veretout (43' pen.), Pellegrini (68')
Peres (21'), Mancini (23'), Villar (56'), Calafiori (90+2')
Belotti (73')
Singo (7'), Lyanco (78')
Singo (14')
Jul 29, 2020 8.45pm
Torino
2-3
Roma
Berenguer (14'), Singo (66')
Lyanco (23'), Meite (55')
Dzeko (16'), Smalling (23'), Diawara (61' pen.)
Perez (35'), Mancini (38'), Zaniolo (81')
Jan 5, 2020 7.45pm
Roma
0-2
Torino

Diawara (28'), Veretout (45'), Kolarov (55'), Mancini (64'), Florenzi (76')
Belotti (45', 86')
Izzo (15'), Verdi (20')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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