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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma logo

Torino
0 - 3
Roma


Ansaldi (21'), Buongiorno (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Abraham (33', 42' pen.), Pellegrini (78' pen.)
Ibanez (20'), Shomurodov (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Torino and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 0-3 Roma
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Torino 1-1 Roma

Roma's recent Serie A form has been disappointing, and they will be coming up against a Torino outfit that will be full of confidence due to a strong set of results over the last few weeks. A draw would leave Roma vulnerable in the top six, but we are struggling to separate the two sides here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawRoma
35.14% (-0.109 -0.11) 25.53% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 39.34% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.73% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.8% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)48.19% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.65% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)70.35% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-0.105 -0.11)26.5% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)61.69% (0.13 0.13)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (0.007000000000005 0.01)24.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.5% (0.013000000000005 0.01)58.5% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Torino 35.14%
    Roma 39.34%
    Draw 25.52%
TorinoDrawRoma
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 35.14%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 9.1% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.46% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.06% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 39.34%

How you voted: Torino vs Roma

Torino
30.2%
Draw
27.3%
Roma
42.6%
242
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2021 5pm
Roma
1-0
Torino
Abraham (32')
Ibanez (90+2'), Kumbulla (90+4')

Zima (54')
Apr 18, 2021 5pm
Torino
3-1
Roma
Sanabria (57'), Zaza (71'), Rincon (90+2')
Nkoulou (51'), Verdi (65')
Mayoral (3')
Diawara (74')
Diawara (85')
Dec 17, 2020 7.45pm
Roma
3-1
Torino
Mkhitaryan (27'), Veretout (43' pen.), Pellegrini (68')
Peres (21'), Mancini (23'), Villar (56'), Calafiori (90+2')
Belotti (73')
Singo (7'), Lyanco (78')
Singo (14')
Jul 29, 2020 8.45pm
Torino
2-3
Roma
Berenguer (14'), Singo (66')
Lyanco (23'), Meite (55')
Dzeko (16'), Smalling (23'), Diawara (61' pen.)
Perez (35'), Mancini (38'), Zaniolo (81')
Jan 5, 2020 7.45pm
Roma
0-2
Torino

Diawara (28'), Veretout (45'), Kolarov (55'), Mancini (64'), Florenzi (76')
Belotti (45', 86')
Izzo (15'), Verdi (20')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan33216664392569
3Juventus331810547262164
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma33177959392058
6Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
7Lazio33164134235752
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza331110123543-843
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce33811143048-1835
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona33710163144-1331
16Empoli3387182648-2231
17Udinese33416133150-1928
18FrosinoneFrosinone33610174063-2328
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
20Salernitana3329222670-4415


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