Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Torino
0 - 3
Roma

Ansaldi (21'), Buongiorno (78')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Abraham (33', 42' pen.), Pellegrini (78' pen.)
Ibanez (20'), Shomurodov (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Torino and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torino

Last Six:

Last Game: Torino 0-3 Roma
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Hellas Verona	38	6	53
10	Torino	38	5	50
11	Sassuolo	38	-2	50

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Lazio	38	19	64
6	Roma	38	16	63
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Torino	Draw	Roma
35.14% ( -0.11)	25.53% ( 0.01)	39.34% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 55.73% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.8% (

-0.08)

48.19% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.65% (

-0.08)

70.35% (

0.07)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.5% (

-0.11)

26.5% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.31% (

-0.14)

61.69% (

0.13)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.82% (

0.01)

24.17% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.5% (

0.01)

58.5% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Torino 35.14%

Roma 39.34%

Draw 25.52%

Torino	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 35.14%	1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.52%	0-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 39.34%