Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 20

Apr 27, 2022 at 7.15pm UK

Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia

Atalanta
4 - 4
Torino

Muriel (18' pen., 84' pen.), de Roon (23'), Pasalic (78')
Freuler (35'), Pasalic (69')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Sanabria (4'), Lukic (36' pen., 63' pen.), Freuler (67' og.)
Lukic (52'), Zima (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

Last Six:

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62
8	Atalanta BC	38	17	59
9	Hellas Verona	38	6	53

Torino

Last Six:

Last Game: Torino 0-3 Roma
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Hellas Verona	38	6	53
10	Torino	38	5	50
11	Sassuolo	38	-2	50

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Torino had a probability of 19.95%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Torino
57.14%	22.91%	19.95%

Both teams to score 51.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.58%

47.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.36%

69.64%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.64%

16.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.03%

45.97%

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.07%

37.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.3%

74.7%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 57.13%

Torino 19.95%

Draw 22.9%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 11.23% 2-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 5.95% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-0 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 2.69% 4-2 @ 1.31% 5-0 @ 1.01% 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.15% Total : 57.13%	1-1 @ 10.88% 0-0 @ 6.2% 2-2 @ 4.78% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.9%	0-1 @ 6.01% 1-2 @ 5.28% 0-2 @ 2.92% 1-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.55% Total : 19.95%