Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Torino had a probability of 19.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.