Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 34

Apr 23, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Torino
2 - 1
Spezia

Lukic (4' pen., 69')
Bremer (62')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Manaj (90+7' pen.)
Erlic (3'), Nikolaou (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Torino and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torino

Last Six:

Last Game: Torino 0-3 Roma
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Hellas Verona	38	6	53
10	Torino	38	5	50
11	Sassuolo	38	-2	50

Spezia

Last Six:

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Sampdoria	38	-17	36
16	Spezia	38	-30	36
17	Salernitana	38	-45	31

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 59.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
Torino	Draw	Spezia
59.19%	22.06%	18.74%

Both teams to score 52.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.48%

45.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.15%

67.85%

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.99%

15.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.52%

43.48%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.87%

38.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.11%

74.89%

Score Analysis

Torino 59.19%

Spezia 18.74%

Draw 22.06%

Torino	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 10.85% 2-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 6.27% 4-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.97% 4-2 @ 1.43% 5-0 @ 1.17% 5-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.53% Total : 59.19%	1-1 @ 10.46% 0-0 @ 5.72% 2-2 @ 4.78% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.06%	0-1 @ 5.52% 1-2 @ 5.05% 0-2 @ 2.66% 1-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.36% Total : 18.74%