Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Mar 18, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Sassuolo
4 - 1
Spezia

Berardi (17' pen., 48'), Ayhan (78'), Scamacca (81')
Henrique (20'), Berardi (44')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Verde (36')
Kovalenko (15'), Maggiore (55'), Erlic (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

Last Six:

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 AC Milan
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Torino	38	5	50
11	Sassuolo	38	-2	50
12	Udinese	38	3	47

Spezia

Last Six:

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Sampdoria	38	-17	36
16	Spezia	38	-30	36
17	Salernitana	38	-45	31

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Spezia
61.38%	20.36%	18.26%

Both teams to score 57.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.45%

38.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.16%

60.84%

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.88%

12.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.31%

37.69%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.46%

34.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.74%

71.26%

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 61.38%

Spezia 18.26%

Draw 20.36%

Sassuolo	Draw	Spezia
2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.32% 1-0 @ 8.83% 3-1 @ 6.97% 3-0 @ 6.56% 3-2 @ 3.71% 4-1 @ 3.68% 4-0 @ 3.46% 4-2 @ 1.96% 5-1 @ 1.55% 5-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.97% Total : 61.38%	1-1 @ 9.39% 2-2 @ 5.27% 0-0 @ 4.19% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.36%	1-2 @ 4.99% 0-1 @ 4.45% 0-2 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.87% 1-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.82% Total : 18.26%