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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 15, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Inter logo

Spezia
1 - 3
Inter Milan

Maggiore (88')
Bastoni (10'), Nikolaou (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brozovic (31'), Martinez (73'), Sanchez (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Spezia 0-2 Inter Milan

With Spezia having all but secured their Serie A status for next season, there is more riding on this fixture for Inter as they bid to keep in touch with Milan at the top. The Nerazzurri were frustrated at the Stadio Alberto Picco last season, but we can see them securing all three points on Good Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 13.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.58%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawInter Milan
13.08%19.43%67.49%
Both teams to score 48.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.33%44.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.97%67.03%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.95%45.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.03%80.97%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.75%12.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.03%37.97%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 13.08%
    Inter Milan 67.48%
    Draw 19.43%
SpeziaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 4.4%
2-1 @ 3.68%
2-0 @ 1.76%
3-2 @ 1.03%
3-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 13.08%
1-1 @ 9.24%
0-0 @ 5.52%
2-2 @ 3.87%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 19.43%
0-2 @ 12.16%
0-1 @ 11.58%
1-2 @ 9.7%
0-3 @ 8.51%
1-3 @ 6.79%
0-4 @ 4.47%
1-4 @ 3.56%
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-5 @ 1.88%
1-5 @ 1.5%
2-4 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 67.48%

How you voted: Spezia vs Inter Milan

Spezia
14.0%
Draw
13.3%
Inter Milan
72.7%
143
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2021 5.30pm
Inter Milan
2-0
Spezia
Gagliardini (36'), Martinez (58' pen.)
Martinez (44')

Manaj (31'), Kiwior (57')
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 20, 2020 2pm
Inter Milan
2-1
Spezia
Hakimi (52'), Lukaku (71' pen.)
Brozovic (18'), Conte (64')
Piccoli (90+4')
N'Zola (41'), Terzi (42')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan146442416822
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Lecce164481027-1716
14Parma163672328-515
15Como163671828-1015
16Genoa153661324-1115
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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