Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 13.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.58%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.