Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 15, 2022 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Simone Bastoni 10' yellowcard
  • Dimitrios Nikolaou 86' yellowcard
  • Giulio Maggiore 88' goal
  • goal Marcelo Brozovic 31'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 73'
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 90'+3'

Spezia vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 9, 2022 2.00pm
Empoli 0 - 0 Spezia
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Daniele Verde

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Apr 9, 2022 5.00pm
Inter Milan 2 - 0 Hellas Verona
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 13.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.58%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result

Spezia 13.08%
Draw 19.43%
Inter Milan 67.49%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.22%

Goals

Over 2.5 55.33%
Under 2.5 44.67%
Over 3.5 32.97%
Under 3.5 67.03%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 54.95%
Under 0.5 45.05%
Over 1.5 19.03%
Under 1.5 80.97%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 87.75%
Under 0.5 12.25%
Over 1.5 62.03%
Under 1.5 37.97%

Score analysis

Spezia 13.08%
Draw 19.43%
Inter Milan 67.48%
Spezia
1-0 @ 4.4%
2-1 @ 3.68%
2-0 @ 1.76%
3-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 13.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.24%
0-0 @ 5.52%
2-2 @ 3.87%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 19.43%
Inter Milan
0-2 @ 12.16%
0-1 @ 11.58%
1-2 @ 9.7%
0-3 @ 8.51%
1-3 @ 6.79%
0-4 @ 4.47%
1-4 @ 3.56%
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-5 @ 1.88%
1-5 @ 1.5%
2-4 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 67.48%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2021 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Roberto Gagliardini 36' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 44' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Martinez 58' goal
  • yellowcard Rey Manaj 31'
  • yellowcard Jakub Kiwior 57'
Serie A Gameweek 32
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Diego Farias 12' goal
  • Riccardo Marchizza 62' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Estevez 89' yellowcard
  • goal Ivan Perisic 39'
Serie A Gameweek 13
Dec 20, 2020 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcelo Brozovic 18' yellowcard
  • Achraf Hakimi 52' goal
  • Antonio Conte 64' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 71' goal
  • yellowcard Mbala N'Zola 41'
  • yellowcard Claudio Terzi 42'
  • goal Roberto Piccoli 90'+4'