Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Empoli win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.